Predicted scoreLikely
Syracuse
20.1
Virginia
31.5
Virginia win probability: 77%
Margin (Virginia − Syracuse): 11.4 (80% range -9 to 31)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:26 PM | 11.3 | 51.6 | 77% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:23 PM | 11.3 | 51.6 | 77% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:18 PM | 11.4 | 51.6 | 77% |