2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Lane Stadium
Virginia @ Virginia Tech
Predicted scoreToss-up
Virginia
28.4
Virginia Tech
27.0
Virginia Tech win probability: 47%
Margin (Virginia Tech − Virginia): -1.3 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:12 PM | -4.9 | 53.7 | 38% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:11 PM | -4.9 | 53.7 | 38% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:31 PM | -4.9 | 53.7 | 38% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:45 AM | -4.9 | 53.7 | 38% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:12 PM | -4.9 | 53.7 | 38% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:51 PM | -5.1 | 53.6 | 38% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:14 PM | -7.2 | 52.0 | 33% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:30 PM | -4.5 | 52.4 | 39% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:43:07 PM | -4.6 | 52.4 | 39% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:09 PM | -4.2 | 52.5 | 40% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:27 PM | -4.2 | 52.5 | 40% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:35:01 PM | -4.1 | 55.3 | 40% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:46 PM | -0.8 | 55.2 | 48% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:58 PM | -0.6 | 56.1 | 48% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:03 PM | -1.3 | 55.4 | 47% |