2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Lane Stadium
Virginia @ Virginia Tech
Predicted scoreLean
Virginia
29.3
Virginia Tech
24.4
Virginia Tech win probability: 38%
Margin (Virginia Tech − Virginia): -4.9 (80% range -25 to 16)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:12 PM | -4.9 | 53.7 | 38% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:11 PM | -4.9 | 53.7 | 38% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:31 PM | -4.9 | 53.7 | 38% |