Predicted scoreToss-up
NC State
23.6
Virginia
27.2
Virginia win probability: 59%
Margin (Virginia − NC State): 3.7 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: NC State 8 – Virginia 34 (margin error 22.3, total error 8.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.