NC State

ACC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Stanford	23.4–27.8	61%
Week 9	vs California	22.6–30.9	70%
Week 10	vs Duke	29.2–26.9	44%
Week 11	vs Syracuse	26.0–29.1	58%
Week 12	@ Florida State	34.8–24.0	25%
Week 13	@ North Carolina	29.0–23.4	36%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Virginia	34–8	27.2–23.6	22.3
Week 2	vs Richmond	0–73	—	—
Week 3	@ Vanderbilt	35–31	33.6–20.7	9.0
Week 4	vs App State	31–41	22.8–31.1	1.7
Week 5	vs Louisville	28–31	30.9–24.4	9.6
Week 6	vs Wake Forest	38–14	30.6–25.1	18.4