Predicted scoreToss-up
NC State
25.7
Stanford
25.0
Stanford win probability: 48%
Margin (Stanford − NC State): -0.7 (80% range -21 to 19)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:51 PM | -0.7 | 50.9 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:47 PM | -0.7 | 50.8 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:29 PM | -0.7 | 50.8 | 48% |