NC State
ACC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs East Carolina | 17–24 | 22.1–31.6 | 2.5 |
| Week 2 | vs Virginia | 31–35 | 25.1–26.4 | 2.7 |
| Week 3 | @ Wake Forest | 24–34 | 24.9–27.9 | 7.1 |
| Week 4 | @ Duke | 45–33 | 26.9–27.4 | 12.5 |
| Week 5 | vs Virginia Tech | 23–21 | 23.7–30.6 | 8.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Notre Dame | 36–7 | 36.2–18.1 | 10.8 |
| Week 9 | @ Pittsburgh | 53–34 | 25.4–23.4 | 17.0 |
| Week 10 | vs Georgia Tech | 36–48 | 29.3–26.0 | 15.3 |
| Week 12 | @ Miami | 41–7 | 35.7–19.1 | 17.4 |
| Week 13 | vs Florida State | 11–21 | 28.8–26.7 | 12.1 |
| Week 14 | vs North Carolina | 19–42 | 23.2–29.5 | 16.8 |
| Week 1 | vs Memphis | 7–31 | 26.9–27.9 | 23.0 |