2025 Week 1 · Aug 28, 2025, 11:00 PM · Carter-Finley Stadium

East Carolina @ NC State

Predicted scoreLikely

East Carolina

22.1

NC State

31.6

NC State win probability: 72%

Margin (NC State − East Carolina): 9.5 (80% range -11 to 31)

Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: East Carolina 17 – NC State 24 (margin error 2.5, total error 12.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.