East Carolina

American Athletic

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Memphis	32.1–22.4	28%
Week 9	vs Temple	24.1–28.8	62%
Week 10	vs South Florida	26.5–22.9	41%
Week 11	@ Charlotte	17.2–28.1	76%
Week 12	@ Army	28.3–21.5	33%
Week 13	vs Florida Atlantic	25.7–29.1	58%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Alabama	48–10	36.8–15.5	16.6
Week 2	vs App State	27–24	22.3–30.3	11.0
Week 3	@ Old Dominion	17–20	26.1–24.6	4.5
Week 4	vs North Carolina Central	9–42	—	—
Week 6	vs Rice	12–28	17.7–33.3	0.4
Week 7	@ UAB	30–17	21.8–27.1	18.3