East Carolina
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ NC State | 24–17 | 31.6–22.1 | 2.5 |
| Week 3 | @ Coastal Carolina | 0–38 | 20.9–26.7 | 32.1 |
| Week 4 | vs BYU | 34–13 | 28.8–20.3 | 12.5 |
| Week 5 | vs Army | 6–28 | 27.9–22.0 | 27.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Tulane | 26–19 | 28.3–20.6 | 0.7 |
| Week 8 | vs Tulsa | 27–41 | 15.0–35.9 | 6.9 |
| Week 10 | @ Temple | 14–45 | 23.1–29.9 | 24.1 |
| Week 11 | vs Charlotte | 22–48 | 16.7–33.3 | 9.4 |
| Week 12 | vs Memphis | 27–31 | 26.6–29.0 | 1.6 |
| Week 13 | @ UTSA | 58–24 | 27.7–25.6 | 32.0 |
| Week 14 | @ Florida Atlantic | 3–42 | 25.2–29.5 | 34.7 |
| Week 1 | vs Pittsburgh | 17–23 | 28.7–24.7 | 10.0 |