2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 11:30 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)

East Carolina @ Coastal Carolina

Predicted scoreLean

East Carolina

26.7

Coastal Carolina

20.9

Coastal Carolina win probability: 35%

Margin (Coastal Carolina − East Carolina): -5.9 (80% range -25 to 14)

Total: 47.6 (80% range 27 to 71)

Actual: East Carolina 38 – Coastal Carolina 0 (margin error 32.1, total error 9.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.