East Carolina
American Athletic
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Old Dominion | 14–20 | 24.0–28.2 | 1.8 |
| Week 3 | vs App State | 21–19 | 28.2–30.4 | 4.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Liberty | 35–24 | 27.6–26.3 | 9.7 |
| Week 5 | vs UTSA | 20–30 | 23.6–24.4 | 9.2 |
| Week 6 | @ Charlotte | 55–24 | 23.6–29.3 | 36.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Army | 45–28 | 31.3–18.0 | 3.7 |
| Week 9 | vs Temple | 34–56 | 23.3–29.5 | 15.8 |
| Week 11 | vs Florida Atlantic | 14–49 | 24.7–31.4 | 28.3 |
| Week 12 | @ Tulsa | 31–38 | 24.9–34.7 | 2.8 |
| Week 13 | @ North Texas | 28–40 | 34.6–29.5 | 17.2 |
| Week 14 | vs Navy | 34–20 | 27.8–24.1 | 10.3 |
| Week 1 | @ NC State | 21–26 | 30.4–20.6 | 14.8 |