2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 8:00 PM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

App State @ East Carolina

Predicted scoreToss-up

App State

28.2

East Carolina

30.4

East Carolina win probability: 55%

Margin (East Carolina − App State): 2.2 (80% range -18 to 24)

Total: 58.6 (80% range 34 to 84)

Actual: App State 21 – East Carolina 19 (margin error 4.2, total error 18.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.