2024 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2024, 12:30 AM · Chapman Stadium
East Carolina @ Tulsa
Predicted scoreLikely
East Carolina
34.7
Tulsa
24.9
Tulsa win probability: 27%
Margin (Tulsa − East Carolina): -9.8 (80% range -31 to 11)
Total: 59.7 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: East Carolina 38 – Tulsa 31 (margin error 2.8, total error 9.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 28 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.