Tulsa

American Athletic

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Army	26.8–26.4	49%
Week 10	@ Tulane	29.6–22.1	32%
Week 11	vs Florida Atlantic	25.1–31.3	65%
Week 12	vs Charlotte	16.1–32.8	86%
Week 13	@ UTSA	30.4–25.5	38%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Oklahoma State	10–24	31.0–25.6	19.4
Week 2	@ Sam Houston	17–23	25.6–28.6	3.0
Week 3	vs East Texas A&M	0–42	—	—
Week 4	@ Arkansas	34–6	37.2–19.1	9.9
Week 5	vs North Texas	45–44	35.1–23.7	10.4
Week 6	@ Navy	34–26	26.0–21.6	3.6
Week 7	@ Rice	17–38	22.5–29.3	14.1