Predicted scoreToss-up
Tulsa
26.3
Rice
26.9
Rice win probability: 51%
Margin (Rice − Tulsa): 0.6 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 30 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:36 PM | 0.5 | 53.2 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:34 PM | 0.6 | 53.2 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:51 PM | 0.6 | 53.2 | 51% |