Predicted scoreLean
Charlotte
22.7
Tulsa
27.2
Tulsa win probability: 62%
Margin (Tulsa − Charlotte): 4.5 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:55 PM | 4.5 | 49.9 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:50 PM | 4.5 | 49.9 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:27 PM | 4.5 | 49.9 | 62% |