Predicted scoreConfident
Tulsa
18.0
Navy
35.4
Navy win probability: 86%
Margin (Navy − Tulsa): 17.4 (80% range -3 to 38)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:20 PM | 17.4 | 53.4 | 86% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:30 PM | 17.4 | 53.4 | 86% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:33 PM | 17.4 | 53.3 | 86% |