Tulsa
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ New Mexico State | 21–14 | 29.7–27.9 | 5.2 |
| Week 3 | vs Navy | 42–23 | 37.1–17.8 | 0.4 |
| Week 4 | @ Oklahoma State | 12–19 | 36.0–22.5 | 20.6 |
| Week 5 | vs Tulane | 31–14 | 36.0–20.0 | 1.0 |
| Week 6 | @ Memphis | 45–7 | 39.1–18.4 | 17.3 |
| Week 8 | @ East Carolina | 41–27 | 35.9–15.0 | 6.9 |
| Week 9 | vs Temple | 38–37 | 30.9–24.7 | 5.1 |
| Week 11 | @ Florida Atlantic | 40–21 | 33.1–23.2 | 9.1 |
| Week 12 | vs Oregon State | 14–31 | 29.1–25.4 | 20.7 |
| Week 13 | @ Army | 25–26 | 34.2–16.8 | 18.4 |
| Week 14 | vs UAB | 31–24 | 27.3–28.2 | 8.0 |