2025 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025, 6:00 PM · Chapman Stadium
Oregon State @ Tulsa
Predicted scoreToss-up
Oregon State
29.1
Tulsa
25.4
Tulsa win probability: 41%
Margin (Tulsa − Oregon State): -3.7 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Oregon State 14 – Tulsa 31 (margin error 20.7, total error 9.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.