Tulsa
American Athletic
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Washington | 43–10 | 39.7–17.9 | 11.2 |
| Week 3 | vs Oklahoma | 66–17 | 37.9–19.8 | 30.9 |
| Week 4 | @ Northern Illinois | 14–22 | 28.6–31.5 | 5.0 |
| Week 5 | vs Temple | 26–48 | 24.2–31.8 | 14.5 |
| Week 6 | @ Florida Atlantic | 20–17 | 27.8–27.8 | 3.0 |
| Week 8 | vs Rice | 42–10 | 22.6–29.9 | 39.4 |
| Week 9 | @ SMU | 69–10 | 34.2–23.6 | 48.5 |
| Week 10 | vs Charlotte | 33–26 | 26.4–28.6 | 9.2 |
| Week 11 | @ Tulane | 24–22 | 35.1–21.1 | 12.0 |
| Week 12 | vs North Texas | 35–28 | 32.7–31.3 | 5.6 |
| Week 13 | @ East Carolina | 27–29 | 29.7–24.5 | 7.1 |