2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 10:00 PM · FAU Stadium
Tulsa @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreToss-up
Tulsa
27.8
Florida Atlantic
27.8
Florida Atlantic win probability: 50%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − Tulsa): -0.0 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 55.6 (80% range 31 to 81)
Actual: Tulsa 17 – Florida Atlantic 20 (margin error 3.0, total error 18.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.