Florida Atlantic

American Athletic

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Rice	23.0–32.2	72%
Week 9	@ North Texas	38.5–24.1	19%
Week 10	vs UTSA	30.5–27.4	42%
Week 11	@ Tulsa	31.3–25.1	35%
Week 12	vs South Florida	30.8–25.0	36%
Week 13	@ East Carolina	29.1–25.7	42%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Florida	66–21	35.1–17.2	27.1
Week 2	vs Navy	30–38	32.7–21.8	18.9
Week 3	vs Florida International	10–16	27.0–28.0	5.0
Week 4	@ UL Monroe	17–45	24.7–31.8	20.9
Week 5	vs Texas Southern	10–66	—	—
Week 7	@ Army	56–24	28.3–24.0	27.7