2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 11:30 PM · FAU Stadium
Navy @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreLean
Navy
29.6
Florida Atlantic
21.5
Florida Atlantic win probability: 30%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − Navy): -8.1 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:20 PM | -8.3 | 51.1 | 30% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:32 PM | -8.1 | 51.1 | 30% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:49 PM | -8.1 | 51.1 | 30% |