2026 Week 9 · Oct 29, 2026, 11:30 PM · DATCU Stadium
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas
Predicted scoreConfident
Florida Atlantic
21.8
North Texas
38.9
North Texas win probability: 85%
Margin (North Texas − Florida Atlantic): 17.1 (80% range -4 to 38)
Total: 60.7 (80% range 37 to 87)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 38 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:03 PM | 17.2 | 60.7 | 85% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:59 PM | 17.1 | 60.7 | 85% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:04 PM | 17.1 | 60.7 | 85% |