Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Maryland | 39–7 | 34.8–19.8 | 16.9 |
| Week 3 | @ Florida International | 38–28 | 22.3–26.1 | 13.9 |
| Week 5 | vs Memphis | 55–26 | 31.4–22.9 | 20.4 |
| Week 6 | @ Rice | 21–27 | 27.3–22.3 | 10.9 |
| Week 7 | vs UAB | 33–53 | 26.2–29.0 | 17.2 |
| Week 8 | @ South Florida | 48–13 | 34.1–18.8 | 19.8 |
| Week 9 | @ Navy | 42–32 | 33.3–19.5 | 3.7 |
| Week 11 | vs Tulsa | 21–40 | 23.2–33.1 | 9.1 |
| Week 12 | @ Tulane | 35–24 | 33.6–19.6 | 3.0 |
| Week 13 | vs UConn | 48–45 | 29.3–28.0 | 1.7 |
| Week 14 | vs East Carolina | 42–3 | 29.5–25.2 | 34.7 |