2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 10:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium

Florida Atlantic @ Florida International

Predicted scoreLean

Florida Atlantic

26.1

Florida International

22.3

Florida International win probability: 40%

Margin (Florida International − Florida Atlantic): -3.9 (80% range -24 to 15)

Total: 48.4 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Florida Atlantic 28 – Florida International 38 (margin error 13.9, total error 17.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.