2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 11:00 PM · Rice Stadium
Florida Atlantic @ Rice
Predicted scoreLean
Florida Atlantic
22.3
Rice
27.3
Rice win probability: 62%
Margin (Rice − Florida Atlantic): 4.9 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Florida Atlantic 27 – Rice 21 (margin error 10.9, total error 1.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.