2025 Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025, 4:00 PM · SECU Stadium
Florida Atlantic @ Maryland
Predicted scoreLikely
Florida Atlantic
19.8
Maryland
34.8
Maryland win probability: 82%
Margin (Maryland − Florida Atlantic): 15.1 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Florida Atlantic 7 – Maryland 39 (margin error 16.9, total error 8.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.