Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Michigan State | 16–10 | 31.4–19.6 | 5.7 |
| Week 2 | vs Army | 24–7 | 21.5–20.3 | 15.7 |
| Week 3 | vs Florida International | 20–38 | 21.8–29.2 | 10.7 |
| Week 4 | @ UConn | 48–14 | 26.2–25.9 | 33.6 |
| Week 7 | vs North Texas | 41–37 | 30.7–29.4 | 2.7 |
| Week 8 | @ UTSA | 38–24 | 26.3–22.4 | 10.2 |
| Week 10 | vs South Florida | 44–21 | 26.8–26.0 | 22.2 |
| Week 11 | @ East Carolina | 49–14 | 31.4–24.7 | 28.3 |
| Week 12 | @ Temple | 18–15 | 25.7–26.8 | 4.1 |
| Week 13 | vs Charlotte | 39–27 | 25.9–27.3 | 13.4 |
| Week 14 | @ Tulsa | 16–63 | 26.9–29.9 | 44.0 |