Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Ohio | 17–10 | 26.6–28.6 | 9.0 |
| Week 3 | @ Clemson | 48–14 | 37.3–17.0 | 13.7 |
| Week 4 | @ Illinois | 23–17 | 32.1–17.7 | 8.4 |
| Week 6 | vs Tulsa | 17–20 | 27.8–27.8 | 3.0 |
| Week 7 | @ South Florida | 14–56 | 30.1–22.8 | 49.3 |
| Week 8 | vs UTSA | 36–10 | 26.4–27.5 | 27.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Charlotte | 16–38 | 24.2–25.9 | 20.3 |
| Week 10 | @ UAB | 45–42 | 28.8–26.0 | 0.2 |
| Week 11 | vs East Carolina | 22–7 | 25.0–29.1 | 19.1 |
| Week 12 | vs Tulane | 24–8 | 27.9–22.7 | 10.8 |
| Week 13 | @ Rice | 24–21 | 27.0–22.9 | 1.2 |