2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 10:00 PM · FAU Stadium
UTSA @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreToss-up
UTSA
26.4
Florida Atlantic
27.5
Florida Atlantic win probability: 53%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − UTSA): 1.1 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: UTSA 36 – Florida Atlantic 10 (margin error 27.1, total error 7.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.