2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 9:00 PM · FAU Stadium
East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreLean
East Carolina
25.0
Florida Atlantic
29.1
Florida Atlantic win probability: 60%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − East Carolina): 4.1 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: East Carolina 22 – Florida Atlantic 7 (margin error 19.1, total error 25.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.