2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 7:30 PM · Raymond James Stadium

Florida Atlantic @ South Florida

Predicted scoreLean

Florida Atlantic

22.8

South Florida

30.1

South Florida win probability: 67%

Margin (South Florida − Florida Atlantic): 7.3 (80% range -13 to 28)

Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Florida Atlantic 56 – South Florida 14 (margin error 49.3, total error 17.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.