2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 5:00 PM · FAU Stadium
Tulane @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreLean
Tulane
27.9
Florida Atlantic
22.7
Florida Atlantic win probability: 37%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − Tulane): -5.2 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Tulane 24 – Florida Atlantic 8 (margin error 10.8, total error 18.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.