2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 7:00 PM · Protective Stadium
Florida Atlantic @ UAB
Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida Atlantic
26.0
UAB
28.8
UAB win probability: 56%
Margin (UAB − Florida Atlantic): 2.8 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Florida Atlantic 42 – UAB 45 (margin error 0.2, total error 32.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.