UAB

American Athletic

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	@ South Florida	30.8–19.7	24%
Week 10	vs Charlotte	17.5–28.9	77%
Week 11	@ Temple	28.6–26.3	45%
Week 12	vs UTSA	28.4–23.6	38%
Week 13	@ North Texas	36.1–22.1	19%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Illinois	42–23	37.1–15.7	2.4
Week 2	vs UL Monroe	20–26	21.7–31.5	3.7
Week 3	@ Louisiana	21–14	29.2–23.1	1.0
Week 4	vs Navy	20–24	29.6–22.6	11.0
Week 5	vs Samford	14–33	—	—
Week 6	@ Memphis	38–13	36.7–22.1	10.4
Week 7	vs East Carolina	17–30	27.1–21.8	18.3