UAB
American Athletic
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Georgia Southern | 49–35 | 25.3–29.6 | 18.3 |
| Week 3 | vs Louisiana | 41–21 | 25.7–29.3 | 23.6 |
| Week 4 | @ Georgia | 49–21 | 44.4–9.3 | 7.1 |
| Week 5 | @ Tulane | 35–23 | 32.4–22.0 | 1.6 |
| Week 6 | vs South Florida | 35–56 | 29.9–27.1 | 23.8 |
| Week 7 | @ UTSA | 41–20 | 30.8–28.0 | 18.3 |
| Week 8 | vs Memphis | 45–21 | 30.4–27.7 | 21.3 |
| Week 10 | vs Florida Atlantic | 42–45 | 26.0–28.8 | 0.2 |
| Week 11 | @ Navy | 31–6 | 23.9–26.4 | 27.6 |
| Week 12 | vs Temple | 24–34 | 22.4–35.1 | 2.8 |
| Week 13 | @ North Texas | 45–42 | 32.2–29.8 | 0.6 |