2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 8:00 PM · Protective Stadium
South Florida @ UAB
Predicted scoreToss-up
South Florida
29.9
UAB
27.1
UAB win probability: 43%
Margin (UAB − South Florida): -2.8 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 57.0 (80% range 33 to 83)
Actual: South Florida 35 – UAB 56 (margin error 23.8, total error 34.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.