Predicted scoreLikely
UAB
22.0
Tulane
32.4
Tulane win probability: 74%
Margin (Tulane − UAB): 10.4 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: UAB 23 – Tulane 35 (margin error 1.6, total error 3.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12/2026, 9:41:01 PM | 10.4 | 54.3 | 74% |
| 8/13/2026, 3:13:29 PM | 10.4 | 54.3 | 74% |