UAB
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Navy | 38–24 | 33.9–17.2 | 2.7 |
| Week 3 | vs Akron | 28–31 | 19.3–34.4 | 12.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Tennessee | 56–24 | 40.9–13.7 | 4.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Army | 31–13 | 33.9–20.0 | 4.0 |
| Week 7 | @ Florida Atlantic | 53–33 | 29.0–26.2 | 17.2 |
| Week 8 | vs Memphis | 24–31 | 34.4–21.9 | 19.5 |
| Week 10 | @ UConn | 38–19 | 34.6–24.3 | 8.8 |
| Week 11 | @ Rice | 24–17 | 25.6–25.6 | 7.0 |
| Week 12 | vs North Texas | 53–24 | 37.8–22.8 | 14.0 |
| Week 13 | vs South Florida | 48–18 | 35.6–20.1 | 14.4 |
| Week 14 | @ Tulsa | 24–31 | 28.2–27.3 | 8.0 |