Predicted scoreLikely
Akron
19.3
UAB
34.4
UAB win probability: 83%
Margin (UAB − Akron): 15.2 (80% range -5 to 35)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Akron 28 – UAB 31 (margin error 12.2, total error 5.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 35 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.