2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 7:30 PM · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

UAB @ Navy

Predicted scoreConfident

UAB

17.2

Navy

33.9

Navy win probability: 86%

Margin (Navy − UAB): 16.7 (80% range -3 to 37)

Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: UAB 24 – Navy 38 (margin error 2.7, total error 10.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.