Predicted scoreLikely
Army
33.9
UAB
20.0
UAB win probability: 19%
Margin (UAB − Army): -14.0 (80% range -35 to 7)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Army 31 – UAB 13 (margin error 4.0, total error 9.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.