Army

American Athletic

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Tulsa	26.4–26.8	51%
Week 9	@ Memphis	31.3–25.2	35%
Week 10	vs Air Force	25.4–29.7	61%
Week 12	vs East Carolina	21.5–28.3	67%
Week 13	@ Rice	19.7–31.4	78%
Week 15	vs Navy	25.1–25.1	50%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Bryant	3–59	—	—
Week 2	vs South Florida	28–24	24.7–23.4	2.7
Week 4	@ Temple	17–21	22.2–27.5	1.3
Week 5	@ Louisiana Tech	31–29	22.9–22.5	1.6
Week 6	vs Tulane	17–20	25.5–26.0	2.5
Week 7	vs Florida Atlantic	24–56	24.0–28.3	27.7