Predicted scoreToss-up
Army
23.8
Memphis
27.3
Memphis win probability: 58%
Margin (Memphis − Army): 3.5 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:01 PM | 3.5 | 51.2 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:07 PM | 3.5 | 51.2 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:24 PM | 3.5 | 51.2 | 58% |