2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 4:00 PM · Michie Stadium
South Florida @ Army
Predicted scoreToss-up
South Florida
26.3
Army
22.9
Army win probability: 41%
Margin (Army − South Florida): -3.3 (80% range -23 to 17)
Total: 49.2 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.91% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:18 PM | -3.1 | 49.1 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:23 PM | -3.2 | 49.1 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:26 PM | -3.3 | 49.2 | 41% |