Predicted scoreToss-up
Tulane
23.0
Army
22.6
Army win probability: 49%
Margin (Army − Tulane): -0.4 (80% range -20 to 18)
Total: 45.6 (80% range 24 to 68)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:14 PM | -0.4 | 45.6 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:29 PM | -0.4 | 45.6 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:32 PM | -0.4 | 45.6 | 49% |