Predicted scoreLean
Army
27.5
Temple
22.2
Temple win probability: 36%
Margin (Temple − Army): -5.3 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Army 21 – Temple 17 (margin error 1.3, total error 11.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:54 PM | -7.4 | 48.1 | 31% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:49 PM | -7.2 | 47.9 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:36 PM | -7.1 | 48.0 | 32% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:45:11 AM | -7.6 | 47.7 | 31% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:32 PM | -7.4 | 47.9 | 31% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:58:45 PM | -7.6 | 48.2 | 31% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:52:42 PM | -7.0 | 48.4 | 32% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:56:45 PM | -5.2 | 49.8 | 37% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:38:21 PM | -5.3 | 49.6 | 36% |