Predicted scoreToss-up
Navy
23.3
Army
21.9
Army win probability: 46%
Margin (Army − Navy): -1.4 (80% range -21 to 17)
Total: 45.2 (80% range 24 to 68)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | 0.89% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.89% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:14 PM | -1.4 | 45.2 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:14 PM | -1.4 | 45.2 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:47 PM | -1.4 | 45.2 | 46% |