Predicted scoreToss-up
Navy
25.1
Army
25.1
Army win probability: 50%
Margin (Army − Navy): -0.0 (80% range -20 to 19)
Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.79% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:14 PM | -1.4 | 45.2 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:14 PM | -1.4 | 45.2 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:47 PM | -1.4 | 45.2 | 46% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:52:01 AM | -1.5 | 45.2 | 46% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:17 PM | -1.4 | 45.2 | 46% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:06:07 PM | -1.3 | 45.5 | 47% |
| 9/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM | -1.6 | 45.1 | 46% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:35 PM | -0.6 | 48.0 | 48% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:43:18 PM | -0.6 | 48.0 | 48% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:32 PM | -0.5 | 48.0 | 48% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:49 PM | -0.5 | 48.0 | 48% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:35:05 PM | 0.7 | 46.8 | 52% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:59 PM | -0.2 | 48.0 | 50% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:45:15 PM | -0.7 | 48.2 | 49% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:15 PM | -0.0 | 50.3 | 50% |