Army
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Kansas State | 21–24 | 29.9–18.7 | 14.3 |
| Week 4 | vs North Texas | 45–38 | 26.9–32.6 | 12.7 |
| Week 5 | @ East Carolina | 28–6 | 22.0–27.9 | 27.9 |
| Week 6 | @ UAB | 13–31 | 20.0–33.9 | 4.0 |
| Week 7 | vs Charlotte | 7–24 | 14.3–32.6 | 1.4 |
| Week 8 | @ Tulane | 24–17 | 26.7–19.9 | 0.2 |
| Week 10 | @ Air Force | 17–20 | 24.9–31.5 | 3.6 |
| Week 11 | vs Temple | 13–14 | 19.2–31.2 | 11.0 |
| Week 13 | vs Tulsa | 26–25 | 16.8–34.2 | 18.4 |
| Week 14 | @ UTSA | 24–27 | 26.8–21.2 | 8.7 |
| Week 16 | @ Navy | 17–16 | 24.1–23.4 | 0.3 |
| Week 1 | vs UConn | 16–41 | 21.6–26.2 | 20.5 |